Iowa Entrance Poll Results: Who Did First-Time Caucus-Goers Support?

The big question in Iowa this year has been how many new caucus participants will show up. Both Donald Trump in the Republican contest and Bernie Sanders in the Democratic race were counting on a strong turnout from first-time caucus-goers.

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In the 2008 Democratic caucuses, 57 percent attended their first presidential caucus. This year that number has dropped to 42 percent. Sanders was counting on these new voters to propel him to victory. He’s winning six out of 10 of these new voters. The question is whether enough of them showed up tonight.

For Subscribers

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAmerican passenger drafted goodbye texts to her family as Flydubai plane plummeted

FOR SUBSCRIBERSCornell rape allegation pushes embattled New York prosecutor into national spotlight

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAbdul El-Sayed tries to woo MAHA voters as Democrats seek inroads with RFK’s supporters

FOR SUBSCRIBERSKratom-like substances are popping up in a typically benign supplement

FOR SUBSCRIBERSGOP super PAC increases its spending for Sen. Jon Husted in tough Ohio race

FOR SUBSCRIBERSRecords reveal tumultuous marriage between slain New York Times executive and wife

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFrom clean energy warrior to ‘wall of shame,’ James Talarico reverses on a fossil fuel money pledge

FOR SUBSCRIBERSCongressional staff planned official trip with luxury stops in Italy and France weeks before election

FOR SUBSCRIBERSA harrowing ordeal aboard an Israel-bound plane

FOR SUBSCRIBERSOpenAI CEO Sam Altman to skip congressional hearing on rogue AI agents

FOR SUBSCRIBERSKey DOJ lawyers departed Trump ‘grand conspiracy’ probe amid pressure to produce, source says

FOR SUBSCRIBERSTrump’s new AI chatbot often links to a site launched under Clinton 26 years ago

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAt MAHA summit, industry CEOs the movement once vilified take the stage

FOR SUBSCRIBERSThis Paralympian has two goals: Win medals and give away $500,000 to her teammates

FOR SUBSCRIBERSCornell rape allegation spotlights stringent New York state laws that have long drawn criticism

Related: Up-to-the-minute Iowa caucus results

On the Republican side, 46 percent of caucus-goers are first-time participants. This is larger than their 38 percent share in 2012, but perhaps not quite as strong a showing as some observers had expected. Trump is winning nearly a third of these voters, while Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio each claim about one-in-five of this group.